A federal court just slapped down Nevada gaming regulators’ attempt to shut down Kalshi’s prediction markets. Big win for the CFTC-regulated trading platform. The court issued both a temporary restraining order and preliminary injunction, leaving Nevada officials scratching their heads while Kalshi celebrates. Several states tried regulating the platform, claiming it’s gambling in disguise, but federal authority prevailed. With access to 25 million Robinhood users, Kalshi’s story is just getting interesting.

A federal court delivered a stunning blow to Nevada regulators, blocking their attempts to shut down prediction market platform Kalshi in the state. The ruling, which granted both a temporary restraining order and preliminary injunction, left Nevada gaming officials scratching their heads and Kalshi doing victory laps.
At the heart of this messy battle is a simple question: Who gets to call the shots when it comes to event-based trading? Kalshi, backed by the mighty Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), says it’s playing by federal rules as a legitimate Designated Contract Market. Nevada regulators? Well, they think it’s just fancy gambling with a bow tie. The company spent three years with CFTC to secure proper regulatory approval before launching any products.
The drama isn’t confined to the Silver State. New Jersey, Illinois, Maryland, Ohio, and Montana have all tried to slam the brakes on Kalshi and its high-profile partners, Robinhood and Crypto.com. These state watchdogs are convinced they’re dealing with wolves in sheep’s clothing – gambling operations masquerading as financial markets. The court specifically rejected Nevada’s counterclaims for their own restraining order against the platform.
But Kalshi isn’t backing down. Armed with its federal blessing, the company keeps expanding its reach, even launching single-game betting markets for NCAA basketball tournaments. They’ve got 25 million Robinhood users at their fingertips, and they’re not afraid to use them.
The showdown has sparked a larger debate about the fuzzy line between prediction markets and gambling. State regulators are fuming, claiming these platforms are just clever end-runs around their gambling laws. Meanwhile, Kalshi maintains it’ll only stop if the CFTC tells it to – and that’s not happening anytime soon.
The federal court’s decision could be a game-changer. It’s not just about Kalshi – it’s about who gets to regulate these newfangled financial products. With the CFTC promising to clarify sports event contract rules by May 2025, the regulatory landscape is about to get interesting.
For now, though, Kalshi keeps rolling along, offering its event contracts in all 50 states while state regulators watch from the sidelines.